|
|
PODSEDNIK AND BASE STEALING
TOM HAUDRICOURT has an article in today's Milwaukee Journal/Sentinel about the stolen base (article here).
He states that the "Moneyball" desciples don't like the stolen base. Again, this isn't entirely accurate. The "Moneyball" philosophy just believes that unless you're stolen base success rate is less than about 70% it's a counter-productive action. With SCOTT PODSEDNIK stealing at a 93% clip right now, not even Billy Beane would put the shackles on him (well, probably not).
The value of the stolen base is something that varies from team to team. The Brewers don't really have a power-hitting team, so anytime they can get into a situation where a player can score on a single or easily on a double is a good thing. When you have GEOFF JENKINS (10 HR), LYLE OVERBAY (8 HR), and then guys like BILL HALL, BRADY CLARK, BEN GRIEVE and KEITH GINTER in the middle of the lineup you need to take the extra base when you can. It's not like they have any 40+ homerun guys, or even many 20+ homerun guys. Jenkins and Overbay get their fair share of extra-base hits, but the others can't really be counted on in that respect.
Again, stolen bases are good when you are good at stealing them and don't hit a lot of homeruns. The Brewers seem to fit that description right now, so for the time being I would say green-light Podsednik and let guys like Spivey and Counsell run occasionally as well.